Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 2148.434315 2332.005248 2517.654916 2719.165900 2931.418563 3148.052501 3385.568350
2025-05-25 1823.503900 2096.214747 2382.423714 2703.978095 3053.964216 3422.188767 3837.708176
2025-06-01 1641.914290 1969.997259 2323.812912 2731.219327 3184.867432 3672.081297 4232.467591
2025-06-08 1473.519635 1836.765765 2238.002050 2709.903388 3245.569508 3830.764855 4514.398500
2025-06-15 1382.753639 1780.339325 2228.419094 2764.679134 3382.941976 4067.608984 4877.283894
2025-06-22 1280.759662 1701.717341 2185.395378 2773.880898 3462.260884 4234.160950 5157.200289
2025-06-29 1184.023833 1621.909472 2134.461070 2767.866148 3518.864875 4370.723757 5399.746972
2025-07-06 1062.181731 1503.719161 2030.898952 2693.142291 3489.410958 4403.333979 5518.735599
2025-07-13 1034.643421 1499.988738 2063.539116 2779.703275 3649.258396 4655.453562 5892.138153
2025-07-20 989.216477 1470.415816 2061.855589 2822.465710 3755.232203 4843.492905 6190.523776
2025-07-27 932.915387 1423.433887 2035.654457 2832.652458 3819.964938 4981.436930 6429.261929
2025-08-03 875.568490 1371.815243 2000.825335 2829.664005 3866.668637 5096.482095 6640.001933
2025-08-10 830.131586 1334.641986 1983.739314 2848.994596 3941.767537 5247.555349 6896.881201
2025-08-17 773.678675 1279.651091 1941.290867 2834.299294 3973.443595 5345.553834 7090.246382
2025-08-24 738.598229 1252.199671 1933.313870 2862.419755 4057.665936 5507.032953 7360.241473
2025-08-31 687.042416 1198.702415 1888.300729 2840.409126 4076.961743 5587.699326 7531.362550
2025-09-07 668.051891 1190.789388 1903.797511 2896.966745 4195.786962 5791.194319 7852.910866
2025-09-14 633.663986 1158.539323 1884.619132 2906.466733 4253.504853 5918.443989 8080.950899
2025-09-21 596.197805 1119.727751 1854.732908 2900.257085 4289.877027 6018.379519 8275.048503
2025-09-28 538.165543 1046.604956 1774.114720 2823.100489 4231.780929 5997.903027 8318.460408
2025-10-05 536.141983 1059.805020 1815.726914 2912.477646 4392.232225 6254.109474 8707.524837
2025-10-12 520.419185 1050.607207 1824.650116 2956.620938 4493.002364 6434.866394 9002.942283
2025-10-19 495.613144 1025.663552 1809.811515 2967.135640 4548.716829 6558.060891 9226.352149